Politics August 25, 2016: New polls show conflicted view of 2016 race still Clinton leads Trump

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New polls show conflicted view of 2016 race still Clinton leads Trump

By Bonnie K. Goodman

(FILE PHOTO) In this composite image a comparison has been made between former US Presidential Candidates Hillary Clinton (L) and Donald Trump.  ***LEFT IMAGE***   PHILADELPHIA, PA - JULY 28:  Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton delivers remarks during the fourth day of the Democratic National Convention at the Wells Fargo Center, July 28, 2016 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton received the number of votes needed to secure the party's nomination. An estimated 50,000 people are expected in Philadelphia, including hundreds of protesters and members of the media. The four-day Democratic National Convention kicked off July 25.  (Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images)  ***RIGHT IMAGE***  LAS VEGAS, NV - DECEMBER 15:  Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump during the CNN Republican presidential debate on December 15, 2015 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This is the last GOP debate of the year, with U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) gaining in the polls in Iowa and other early voting states and Donald Trump rising in national polls.  (Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)

(FILE PHOTO) In this composite image a comparison has been made between former US Presidential Candidates Hillary Clinton (L) and Donald Trump. ***LEFT IMAGE*** PHILADELPHIA, PA – JULY 28: Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton delivers remarks during the fourth day of the Democratic National Convention at the Wells Fargo Center, July 28, 2016 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton received the number of votes needed to secure the party’s nomination. An estimated 50,000 people are expected in Philadelphia, including hundreds of protesters and members of the media. The four-day Democratic National Convention kicked off July 25. (Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images) ***RIGHT IMAGE*** LAS VEGAS, NV – DECEMBER 15: Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump during the CNN Republican presidential debate on December 15, 2015 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This is the last GOP debate of the year, with U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) gaining in the polls in Iowa and other early voting states and Donald Trump rising in national polls. (Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)

Despite all the scandals surrounding Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton’s tenure as Secretary of State she still is leading Republican nominee Donald Trump in national polls. Two new national polls show a conflicted view of the 2016 presidential race, suggesting the race might be closer than some poll indicate. According to a new national Quinnipiac University poll released on Thursday, Aug. 25, 2016, Clinton leads Trump by 10 points. However, an Economist/YouGov online poll published on Wednesday, Aug. 24 Clinton leads by only 3 points within the margin of error.

The new Quinnipiac University poll, Clinton leads Trump 51 to 41 percent in a two-way race. Factoring third party candidates, Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson and Green Party nominee Jill Stein, Clinton’s lead shrinks to 7 points over Trump, 45 to 35 percent.

The numbers contrast with the latest Economist/YouGov online poll, where Clinton has the narrowest lead of all recent national polls, only three points. In the survey, Clinton has 47 percent to Trump’s 44 percent. The best national performance for Trump post-conventions. In a four-way race, Clinton’s lead expands to a point to a four percent margin, giving Clinton 42 percent to Trump’s 38 percent voter support.

Meanwhile, Clinton had her one of her largest poll margin leads of the campaign in the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll published on Tuesday, Aug. 23, with 12 points over Trump. In the survey, Clinton has 45 percent support to Trump’s 33 percent. In a four-way race, Clinton’s lead shrinks to 8 percent over Trump with 41 percent to 33 percent for the GOP nominee.

Although Reuters/Ipsos poll nearly makes the record, Clinton had her largest margin of 15 percent over Trump in the McClatchy-Marist survey released on Aug. 4, a post-Democratic convention poll, where Clinton led 48 percent to 33 percent.

In most recent polls, Clinton leads Trump by 8 to 10 percent, however, earlier this week, two other polls had Clinton leading Trump by 8 percent. In the NBC News/SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Online Tracking Poll released on Tuesday, Aug. 23, Clinton had the support of 50 percent of voters to Trump’s 42 percent. In a four-way race, Clinton only led Trump by 5 percent, 43 to 38 percent. In last week’s Reuters/Ipsos poll, Clinton had 42 percent to Trump’s 34 percent. In a four-way race, Clinton lead shrunk by one, 41 to 34 percent.

Besides the recent Economist/YouGov online poll, the only other poll where the margin the two candidates was close was the Pew Research Center poll published on Aug. 18. In that Pew poll, Clinton led Trump by only four points, 41 percent to 39 percent. This survey looked solely at a four-way race. Clinton, however, is leading in many battleground states as well.

Politics August 16, 2016: Clinton remains on top of polls leads Trump by 9 percent

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Clinton remains on top of polls leads Trump by 9 percent

By Bonnie K. Goodman

Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton arrives at a voter registration rally, August 16, 2016, in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. / AFP / DOMINICK REUTER        (Photo credit should read DOMINICK REUTER/AFP/Getty Images)

Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton arrives at a voter registration rally, August 16, 2016, in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. / AFP / DOMINICK REUTER (Photo credit should read DOMINICK REUTER/AFP/Getty Images)

Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton is continuing her reign atop of the 2016 presidential election polls. According to the latest NBC News/Survey Monkey Weekly, Election Tracking Poll published on Tuesday, Aug. 16, 2016, Clinton leads Republican nominee Donald Trump by 9 points.

According to the NBC News poll, Clinton has 50 percent support to Trump’s 41 percent. Clinton’s lead shrinks, however, if the poll takes into account the two third party candidates, Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson and the Green Party’s Jill Stein. Then Clinton only Trump by 6 percent, 43 percent to Trump’s 37 percent. Meanwhile, Johnson would have 11 percent support and Stein with 4 percent.

Despite Clinton’s lead, the public is only supporting her because they view her as the lesser of two evils. According to the poll, the public views both candidates unfavorably, with 59 percent viewing Clinton negatively and 64 percent viewing Trump negatively. When the voters were asked about the candidate’s attributes, where they considered them, “honesty, values and temperament,” most voters said none of the above.

Clinton’s main edge over is that 42 percent of voters say the Democratic nominee has the “personality and temperament to serve” as percent only 17 percent say that about Trump. While Trump has the edge on the honesty front, 16 percent of voters think he is honest versus only 11 percent that view Clinton as honest.

Clinton has been leading Trump in every post-Democratic National Convention poll since August with margins between 8 to 10 percent depending on the poll.  According to the RealClearPolitics average of polls, Clinton has a 6.8-point advantage of Trump, 47.8 to 41 percent. Clinton is also leading in most battleground states.

Politics July 11, 2016: Majority of Americans disapprove of the FBI deciding to not charge Clinton over email server

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Majority of Americans disapprove of the FBI deciding to not charge Clinton over email server

By Bonnie K. Goodman

UNITED STATES - JULY 8: Presidential candidate Hillary Clinton addresses the African Methodist Episcopal Church conference held at the Pennsylvania Convention Center in Philadelphia, July 8, 2015, where she remarked on recent gun violence. (Photo By Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

UNITED STATES – JULY 8: Presidential candidate Hillary Clinton addresses the African Methodist Episcopal Church conference held at the Pennsylvania Convention Center in Philadelphia, July 8, 2015, where she remarked on recent gun violence. (Photo By Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

American voters agree with Republicans that the FBI should have charged former Secretary of State and presumptive Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton for using her private server and mishandling classified information during her tenure. A new ABC News/Washington Post poll published on Monday, July 11, 2016, shows that a majority of Americans disagree with the FBI’s decision. Voters are also worried about how Clinton will deal with the “responsibilities” of the presidency.

According to the poll, 56 percent of Americans disagree with “FBI Director James Comey’s recommendation not to charge Clinton,” while only 35 percent agree with his decision. American even worried about how Clinton would act as president, although 39 percent are not worried about how she would perform as president.

There are partisan divisions over the FBI’s decision, with 90 percent of Republicans objecting to Comey’s decision. Democrats are not too pleased with Clinton’s actions either with 30  percent believing she should have faced charges, while 60 percent agree with the FBI and Attorney General Loretta Lynch closing the case on their presidential nominee.

Although Clinton will not face any criminal charges, 28 percent of Americans are less likely to vote for Clinton in November after the yearlong investigation into her handling of classified information. Last week when Comey announced he would not charge Clinton, he still expressed that she and her aides’ treatment of classified information were “extremely reckless.”

Politics June 30, 2016: Nate Silver predicts Clinton will win election in a landslide

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Nate Silver predicts Clinton will win election in a landslide

By Bonnie K. Goodman

June 30, 2016 12:16 AM MST
 FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver gave his forecast of the 2016 election, and he believes Clinton is certain to win the election, June 29, 2016
FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver gave his forecast of the 2016 election, and he believes Clinton is certain to win the election, June 29, 2016
Photo by David McNew/Getty Images

Politics June 28, 2016: New Electoral College vote projection Clinton defeats Trump 279 to 191

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New Electoral College vote projection Clinton defeats Trump 279 to 191

By Bonnie K. Goodman

June 28, 2016 9:52 AM MST

 A new NPR Election College vote projection shows that Presumptive Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton would be able to win the presidential election over presumptive GOP nominee Donald Trump, June 26, 2016
A new NPR Election College vote projection shows that Presumptive Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton would be able to win the presidential election over presumptive GOP nominee Donald Trump, June 26, 2016
NPR

Politics June 18, 2016: Trump is gaining an edge on national security over Clinton in new poll

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Trump is gaining an edge on national security over Clinton in new poll

By Bonnie K. Goodman

June 18, 2016 6:08 AM MST

Presumptive Democratic nominee, Hillary Clinton’s poll numbers are sliding and the gap between her and presumptive GOP nominee Donald Trump is narrowing after the worst mass shooting in American history, June 17, 2016
Photo by Ron Jenkins/Getty Images

Politics June 9, 2016: Electoral College prediction Clinton with 262 to Trump’s 191, 85 tossup votes

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Electoral College prediction Clinton with 262 to Trump’s 191, 85 tossup votes

By Bonnie K. Goodman

June 9, 2016 4:32 PM MST
Democrats are at an advantage in Electoral College votes with almost enough votes to win the election, Republican have to work harder, and need the six battleground states in their column to win November, June 8, 2016
Democrats are at an advantage in Electoral College votes with almost enough votes to win the election, Republican have to work harder, and need the six battleground states in their column to win November, June 8, 2016
ABC News

 

 

 

Politics February 18, 2016: Clinton gets desperate steals superdelegates as Sanders tops first national poll

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Clinton gets desperate steals superdelegates as Sanders tops first national poll

By Bonnie K. Goodman

February 18, 2016 10:29 PM MST

Bernie Sanders is topping the Democratic polls, while Hillary Clinton gets desperate as she grabs up as many delegates as possible before the public gets to vote, Feb. 18, 2016
Bernie Sanders is topping the Democratic polls, while Hillary Clinton gets desperate as she grabs up as many delegates as possible before the public gets to vote, Feb. 18, 2016
Photo by Ethan Miller/Getty Images

Politics February 17, 2016: Cruz takes away frontrunner status from Trump tops new national poll

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Cruz takes away frontrunner status from Trump tops new national poll

By Bonnie K. Goodman

February 17, 2016 4:49 PM MST

 Is Ted Cruz's new national poll lead over Donald Trump a trend or just a blip in Trump's road to the GOP presidential nomination, Feb. 17, 2016

Is Ted Cruz’s new national poll lead over Donald Trump a trend or just a blip in Trump’s road to the GOP presidential nomination, Feb. 17, 2016
Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images

Politics February 5, 2016: Sanders, Clinton almost tied, Sanders, Rubio do best in general election matchup

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Sanders, Clinton almost tied, Sanders, Rubio do best in general election matchup

By Bonnie K. Goodman

February 5, 2016 4:08 PM MST

Both Democrat Bernie Sanders and Republican Marco Rubio are gaining the most ground in the latest national poll after the Iowa caucuses, Feb. 5, 2016

Both Democrat Bernie Sanders and Republican Marco Rubio are gaining the most ground in the latest national poll after the Iowa caucuses, Feb. 5, 2016
Photo by Andrew Burton/Getty Images

Politics December 2, 2015: Trump solidifies lead, Rubio moves up, Carson drops, Sanders beats them all

Trump solidifies lead, Rubio moves up, Carson drops, Sanders beats them all

December 2, 2015

Politics July 14, 2015: Donald Trump again tops GOP field in new poll, can he win the nomination?

Donald Trump again tops GOP field in new poll, can he win the nomination?

July 14, 2015
Business and real estate mogul Donald Trump is again on the top of the 15 and counting Republican presidential field. The new Suffolk University/USA TODAY poll marks the second time Trump has topped the GOP three is one counts…